Climate forecasters say ME likely to have above-average temps this winter

Ismael LynchOct 22, 2018

"Up in ME the forecast is actually what we call "equal chances", which means there's no tilt in those odds, so it's just as likely to be a wetter-than-normal winter as a drier-than-normal winter", says Halpert. They anticipate a weak El Nino but it could still mean a warmer-than-usual winter for those of us here in southern Wisconsin. It is expected to be weaker than the El Nino that developed during the 2015/2016 winter.

Temperatures are not expected to dip below average anywhere in the country from December to February, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) announced Thursday in its "Winter Outlook".

NOAA says much of the northern and western USA will have warmer-than-normal conditions with the southeast having equal chances for temps that run either below-normal, near-normal or above-normal.

According to the weather service's precipitation outlook, wetter than average conditions are favored for southern states stretching into Virginia.

"Snow forecasts are generally not predictable more than a week in advance", the agency said.

2018-19 Winter Outlook map for temperature.

"We fall either way during the course of the winter", Charleston National Weather Service Meteorologist Megan Kiebler said.

NOAA released its 2018-2019 Winter Outlook for the United States.

Broadly speaking, "El Nino" refers to a climate effect caused by warming sea surface temperatures in parts of the Pacific Ocean. Wetter conditions are in store for much of the southern US, up into the mid-Atlantic while drier conditions are likely for the northern Rockies, Northern Plains, northern Ohio Valley and Great Lakes.

Hawaii, Montana, Michigan, parts of Idaho, Wisconsin, northern Illinois, Indiana and OH are forecast to be drier than normal, with the biggest likelihood in Hawaii, Montana and Michigan.

- No part of the favored to have below-average temperatures.

-Even during a warmer than normal winter, it will still get cold and snow is still likely to occur.

Meantime, drier-than-average conditions are expected for the Great Lakes and portions of the Northern Rockies and the Northern Plains.

The NOAA prediction has contradicted the Farmer's Almanac prediction, which said the winter will be harsh this season.

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