Term elections 2018: Trump makes final bid for votes

Eileen GuzmanNov 06, 2018

This is much lower than presidential elections, where turnout has hit around 60% in recent contests.

All 435 seats in the US House of Representatives, 35 US Senate seats and 36 governorships are up for grabs in elections focused on dozens of competitive races from coast to coast that opinion polls show could go either way.

However, the Democrats are expected to fall short of the two seats they need to win control of the Senate.

Democrats are favored by election forecasters to pick up the minimum of 23 House seats they need for a majority, which would enable them to stymie Trump's legislative agenda and investigate his administration. Another 35 U.S. senate seats are in play, as well as nearly 40 gubernatorial votes and the balance of power in virtually every state chamber.

Of the 35 Senate seats that are facing polls, 26 were held by the Democrats.

A Democratic House victory would also serve as a warning to Republican officeholders about their policies, their devotion to the president, and the brand of campaigning they have chosen this time.

While he is not on the ballot, Mr Trump has acknowledged that the 2018 mid-term elections represent a referendum on his presidency.

"Democrats want to invite caravan after caravan of illegal aliens to pour into our country".

The US president has framed migrant caravans approaching through Central America as an existential crisis for country, calling it an "invasion" and dispatching more than 5,000 soldiers to the border. "No nation can allow its borders to be overrun".

What they do ask is: Am I better off since Trump took office?

"I feel less comfortable making a prediction today than I have in two decades", Republican pollster Frank Luntz said.

According to Decision Desk HQ's Scott Tranter, the Democrats have a 94.5% chance of winning the House while the Republicans have a 93.1% chance of keeping the Senate.

The Rasmussen poll found that most voters approve of President Trump's leadership; that's good news for the GOP.

Trump began last week to warn that a loss might be coming, suggesting it would not be a big problem: "My whole life, you know what I say?"

Laurel Smith, 58, who has a son with a rare genetic disorder, voted for MacArthur in 2014 and 2016 before he authored a last-minute amendment that resuscitated the repeal effort in the House in May 2017.

"Health care is on the ballot", former President Barack Obama told Democratic volunteers in Virginia.

But Brookings Institution expert John Hudak said it is also clear that Trump is a major issue for both parties this year.

And describing the election as even more consequential than his own historic 2008 victory as the first non-white president, Mr Obama said more than politics is at stake.

Donald Trump at a campaign rally in Missouri, ahead of tomorrow's midterm elections.

And that would be more in line with the Dow has performed, on average, in the year following a midterm election. I think we're doing very well in the Senate.

Three states could elect their first African-American governors, while several others are running LGBT candidates and Muslims.

An ABC News poll this week placed his job approval at 40 percent, while CNN's final survey put him at 39 percent, worst of any president heading into his first midterm, in records dating back to President Dwight D. Eisenhower.

The two parties were also tangling in several crucial governors' races, including in Midwest battleground states such as Wisconsin, Ohio, Iowa and MI. "That is particularly true when a president is unpopular, as this president is".

But as he touched down in IN for the second leg of his final-day tour, even Trump conceded that the House may slip from his party's grasp. Republicans now hold 51 against the Democrats' 49 (with two independents).

"Under the expectation that Republican voters typically are more likely to turn out, can Democrats energize people who identify with the Democratic Party to turn out and vote for their candidates?"

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